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John Loos, Property Strategist at FNB Home Loans, received his Masters in Economics at the University of Stellenbosch before becoming an economist in the National Treasury. Thereafter, he became the SA Macroeconomist for Globalinsight, a major US based economic consultancy. He entered banking with BOE Group, shortly before moving to Absa Group in 2000 as senior macroeconomist ion 2000. In 2004, he was named Reuters Economist of the Year and in 2006, he joined FNB to pursue a slightly different focus as the bank’s Property Economist.

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House Price Trends and Property Affordability
According to our sample of deeds data we are observing the following (read through the attached document for more insight) - High priced area end is maintaining its status as the leader in the cycle, with its volumes recovering earlier - The affordable...

Posted: Nov 16 2009, 09:23 AM by JohnL | with 1 comment(s)

October FNB House Price Index
Enjoy October's FNB House Price Index (pdf attached), which shows a recorded -1% year-on-year deflation and that the trend is firmly back towards year-on-year inflation (possibly by next month).
Posted: Nov 02 2009, 10:17 AM by JohnL | with no comments
John's insights - SARB new mortgage loan numbers
Although the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) new mortgage loan numbers remain very weak compared to prior years, it is believed that the mildly diminished rates of year-on-year decline in value of new mortgage lending indicate a household sector that...

Posted: Sep 07 2009, 06:33 AM by JohnL | with no comments

John's insight - Household credit risk Sept 09
The release of the September SARB Quarterly Bulletin makes the economic and household sector picture for the 2nd quarter of 2009 more complete. But this is not to say that the picture is a good one. Real disposable income showed even more extreme negative...
Posted: Sep 04 2009, 08:46 AM by JohnL | with no comments